Hot off the Press: The Latest Primary Polls Out of Pennsylvania

April 21, 2008

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Here are all of the latest polls coming out of Pennsylvania. It should be noted that each one of these polls were taken from a statewide sample of voters, however not all of the following numbers were asked from exclusively Democratic voters, and were more or less open polling taken into account registered voters from both parties. Anyways, here are the numbers:

Strategic Vision (conducted April 18-20)

Obama: 41%
Clinton: 48%

Survey USA

Obama: 41%
Clinton: 53%

American Research Group (conducted April 17-19)

Obama: 41%
Clinton: 54%

McClatchy-MSNBC (conducted April 17-18)

Obama: 43%
Clinton: 48%

Joshua Marshall of Talking Points Memo offers some great insight into these numbers as he points out that American Research Group’s (ARG) numbers have been pretty unreliable this cycle. But SurveyUSA has had a very solid record, and it has close to the same spread, 12 points. McClatchy is also a quality non-robocall poll. And their five point spread is much closer to the other polls out over the last week , which have been in the mid-to-low single digits in Clinton’s favor.

That said I think it is clear that Clinton is in fact leading among Pennsylvanian Democrats, the question lies in just how much she’s ahead bye. And it’s this that I really think we will have to wait until Tuesday (April 22nd) when the polls open to finally get the conclusive answer.