Hillary’s Swan Song: Latest Polls Have Obama up 16 Points Nationally

May 19, 2008

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It seems as though the Democratic Primary, regardless of your personal opinon on the race, is all but over. The latest Gallup Poll finds Barack Obama with his largest advantage over Hillary Clinton in Democratic voters’ nomination preferences thus far, 55% to 39%.

Obama’s previous largest lead was 11%, a number achieved back on the May 15-17 poll, and also in the April 12-14 polling release. His widening lead over Clinton has been evident in each of the last three days of tracking, after the two had been more closely matched earlier in the month.

Clinton’s largest lead in the Gallup Daily tracking poll was 20%, which we saw back in mid-January, when she led Obama 48% to 28% in a nation wide poll. Too view the entire tracking poll time line, which ranges from late 2007 until today’s newest release, you can do so here.

However as it stands today -24 hours until the voters of Oregon and Kentucky Democrats take to the polls to cast their ballots- Gallup sums it up by saying:

“Tuesday, voters in Kentucky and Oregon will register their preferences for the Democratic nomination. Clinton is expected to win Kentucky and Obama Oregon. There is some speculation that Obama may declare victory given that he is expected to clinch a majority of the delegates available in the state primaries and caucuses.”

This is music to Barack Obama and his supporters ears, who have for months now found themselves waiting in anticipation for the inevitable to take place, and that is an Obama declaration of victory, which is by every measure a honest and fair assessment of the primary process as a whole. So it appears (something I have felt for quite some time now) that Barack Obama and company can begin (as if they already haven’t) shifting there focus onto John McCain and the general election.