Brand New Polling Shows Barack Obama Holding Sizeable Leads in 4 More Swing-States

June 26, 2008

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An emerging Democratic coalition of women, minorities and younger voters is propelling Illinois Sen. Barack Obama to leads of five to 17% points over Arizona Sen. John McCain among likely voters in the battleground states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls, conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.

Sen. McCain’s lead among white voters in Colorado and Michigan cuts the gap to single digits, but doesn’t offset Sen. Obama’s strength among other groups. The Democrat also leads by eight to 21 percentage points among independent voters in each state. Overall results show:

Colorado:

(D)Barack Obama: 49%
(R) John McCain:44%
(Obama leads 51% - 39% among independent voters)

Michigan:

(D) Barack Obama: 48%
(R) John McCain: 42%
(Obama leads 46% - 38% among independents voters)

Minnesota:

(D) Barack Obama: 54%
(R) John McCain: 37%
(Obama leads 54% - 33% among independent voters)

Wisconsin:

(D) Barack Obama: 52%
(R) John McCain: 39%
(Obama leads 50% - 37% among independent voters)

Democrats would like Obama to pick Sen. Hillary Clinton as his running mate, but voters overall reject the idea. Independent voters oppose Sen. Clinton by 16 to 29 percentage points. The polls also noted the following points of interest that came as a result from their latest findings:

“November can’t get here soon enough for Sen. Barack Obama. He has a lead everywhere, and if nothing changes between now and November he will make history,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

“But Sen. Obama should not be picking out the drapes for the Oval Office just yet. His lead nationally, and double digits in some key states, is not hugely different from where Sen. John Kerry stood four years ago at this point in the campaign,” Brown added.

“At this point, Sen. Obama has assembled what Democrats see as their victory coalition for the future: young people, racial minorities and women, while remaining competitive - and in some places ahead - among men and whites.”

Wow, this is great news for the Obama camp, and Democrats in general. However it is important the party, and the campaign do not get too comfortable - I am pretty sure they know this, seeing as though they are professionals, it just never hurts to reiterate.