Truth Is Obama’s Popular Vote Lead Is Pretty Much Insurmountable

March 12, 2008


A couple things came out of last night’s landslide win the Mississippi Democratic primary. Senator Barack Obama’s presidential campaign claimed on Wednesday that it not only had a pledged delegate lead that would be hard to reverse, but also a popular vote advantage that Sen. Hillary Clinton would literally have to perform some sort of miracle in order to catch up in regardless of the Pennsylvania primary outcome, which is scheduled to take place on April 22nd. Barack Obama’s campaign manager David Plouffe briefly touched on this subject during a chat with reporters earlier this morning:

“Although we don’t think this is the barometer on which the race will be decided, we have a big popular vote lead,” Plouffe said, “Our popular vote lead is up around a million. Which is obviously a significant edge and one they would have a very tough time reversing.”

These statements actually put it rather nicely, according to Real Clear Politics, Obama leads Clinton by slightly more than 710,000 votes after 40-plus primary elections. That number drops to just over 400,000 when including Florida’s results, which Sen. Barack Obama spent absolutely no time campaigning, and spent zero dollars advertising in.

With only 10 contests left in the Democratic nomination process there is an increasing likelihood that Obama will end up with a relatively substantial pledge delegate lead. After yesterdays molly whopping in Mississippi’s primary vote, the Obama camp has estimated that he had not only erased the losses he had in Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island, but now leads a seemingly pathetic Clinton campaign by 161 delegates. Can’t wait to see what the cornered dog, Hillary Clinton will resort to next in her increasingly sad attempts to steal this nomination.


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