A Closer Look at Nevada

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First and foremost I think it is important to note that in the past Nevada’s primary/caucus date has been much later then January 19th. So the majority of the time the country all ready had a good idea to who both the Republican and Democrat candidates were going to be. However the decision was made to move up the date of the Nevada vote so that the West could also receive some early attention much like that of Iowa and New Hampshire.

With that being said let us dissect the past results Nevada voters have given us, and see how accurate they are in selecting the eventual candidate for both the Republican and Democratic parties. It doesn’t take long to see that Republican’s really show no interest in Nevada and that the past is more or less meaningless to the Right, much like you are seeing this year with the lone candidates being Mitt Romney and Ron Paul campaigning at all in the State.

The story is a little different for the Democrat’s. Now as I stated earlier the Nevada Caucus has historically been much later, so late that the candidates are pretty much set in the mids of many American’s. However you must put some stock into the first vote coming from the West, it is likely that surrounding states –mainly the ones voting on super duper Tuesday– will be influenced by the outcome in Vegas. And the political shifts have already begun: Nevada’s once-red Republican profile has recently tilted Democratic blue – with Democratic voters surpassing Republicans for the first time since 1992, studies show. And those shifts have sparked speculation that Nevada could help shuffle the presidential field in the Democratic primary and next year’s election. And it is vital to keep in mind that About 40 percent of Nevada’s new residents – estimated at 5,000 per month – are coming from California. The changes may mean a renewed political focus on bread-and-butter issues important to both neighboring states: water, the environment, immigration, education and the challenge of handling a booming new population.

Here are the past results for both the 2000 and 2004 Democratic Caucus’s held in Nevada. AS you can see by the results people obviously had a good idea of who was fitting to receive the Democrats nomination. It however does let us in on some voter trends in the state:

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